Coronavirus Pandemic Simulation Run 3 Months Ago Predicts 65 Million People Could Die

As of this morning, the deadly coronavirus that originated in China has killed 26 people and infected more than 900.

But according to one simulation run less than three months ago, things could get much, much worse. Less than three months ago, Eric Toner, a scientist at the Johns Hopkins Centre for Health Security, had run a simulation of a global pandemic involving the exact same type of virus, according to Business Insider.

His simulation predicted that 65 million people could die “within 18 months”. 

He commented:

 “I have thought for a long time that the most likely virus that might cause a new pandemic would be a coronavirus.”

As of now, the outbreak is not a pandemic, but it has been reported in eight different countries. Toner’s simulation said that nearly “every country in the world” would have the virus after six months.

He commented:

“We don’t yet know how contagious it is. We know that it is being spread person to person, but we don’t know to what extent. An initial first impression is that this is significantly milder than SARS. So that’s reassuring. On the other hand, it may be more transmissible than SARS, at least in the community setting.

His analysis used a fictional virus called CAPS, which would be resistant to any modern vaccine and would be deadlier than SARS. The simulation involved a virus originating in Brazil’s pig farms. The outbreak started small, with farmers coming down with symptoms, before spreading to crowded and impoverished areas.

The simulation also showed flights being cancelled and travel bookings falling by 45%, as people disseminated false information on social media. It also triggered a financial crisis around the globe, with global GDP falling 11% and stock markets falling 20% to 40%. 

No word on whether or not the simulation accounted for the modern monetary theory the Fed is essentially governing with now. 

He also claimed that the current coronavirus could have major economic impact if it the total cases hits the thousands.

He concluded:

“If we could make it so that we could have a vaccine within months rather than years or decades, that would be a game changer. But it’s not just the identification of potential vaccines. We need to think even more about how they are manufactured on a global scale and distributed and administered to people.”

“It’s part of the world we live in now. We’re in an age of epidemics.”

Of course here in the United States the CDC is assuring us that we don’t have anything to be concerned about

“We don’t want the American public to be worried about this because their risk is low,” says Anthony Fauci, head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. “On the other hand, we are taking this very seriously and are dealing very closely with Chinese authorities.”

Hopefully they are correct, and hopefully this outbreak will blow over sooner rather than later.

via zerohedge

11 comments

  1. As I suspected, it was kept secret for a long time before being made public, making SURE it was well established before anything could be done to stop it!!

  2. look up just what this virus is. It can be controlled just by making changes to hand washing and taking of supplements and other precautions that we the people can do on our own. I see it as another scare story to get people to run and get vaccinated to make more money for big pharma.

    1. Its pretty obvious that human to human contact can be minimized by staying away from crowds. Since a person can be infectious without symptoms for a week or more. Could 14 day quarenteen be too brief? I suggest 30 days to be safe.
      This all falls in the perview of Agenda 2030 and population reduction. What if the final pandemic is administered as a vaccine to one that is active? When the vaxing starts pay attention. If ppl start dying off within days don’t take the vaccine. This is how this works: create panic and a crowd to get the antidote that is pure toxin. Watch & wait.

  3. I believe, setting aside possibilities like big pharma making a bundle, I’m going to boycott the disease by staying off of airplanes, staying at home as much as possible and interacting as little as possible with my fellow humans. It seems the easiest way for it to spread is remaining mobile and the countries that get it easier are those whose citizens travel around indiscriminately.

  4. Read “OLIVE LEAF EXTRACT” by Dr. Morton Walker MD. $6 Amazon. 6 major laboratories tested every Virus,Bacteria and Fungus and it kills them all, with no toxic side effects. It builds a strong immune system. Shows kills. ebola. Hep A,B, and C. 4 pages of tiny print on every VIRUS, BACTERIA AND FUNGUS. You never get sick. GREAT liquid remedy available.

  5. I have a better idea ban all travel to and from China , if you are a United States citizen in China too bad so sad you stay there until the disease is under control.

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